Power 5 Teams to Fade

ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, PAC 12, SEC...

ACC
Georgia Tech lost their two leading scorers and didn’t add much at all from the transfer portal besides Lance Terry. Josh Pastner is on the hot seat and just flat out didn’t recruit good enough. With so many question marks for this young team and a coach on the hot seat I am not sure how to expect any good out of this program this season.
Louisville is scary. Usually they are trending upwards in the ACC, but this is going to be a straight down year with Kenny Payne leading the charge. Bad culture has been the theme around this team for a year now and I don’t see that changing. I know scrimmages don’t mean much, but to lose to Lenoir Rhyne by 10 and only score 47 kind of says it all. The Cardinals may crash and burn on their way to barely winning 10-14 games this season.
Big 12
Kansas State is the lone team in the Big 12 I can put into this category. Simply put the Big 12 is loaded and no team should fall into the “fade” realm, but if there is one it's the Wildcats. I am not a believer in Norwell at point guard and I am not sure what you are going to get out of their guards. The true X factor is Keyontae Johnson. First year head coach Jerome Tang is kind of just getting thrown into a gauntlet with a lot of what if questions surrounding the program. Bad state considering the Big 12 is loaded.
Big Ten
Nebraska under Hoiberg has yet to finish better than 13th place in the Big Ten and this roster is anything close to attractive. The Cornhuskers need a star to emerge, but I don’t see who can. Nebraska has a bunch of glorified role players who haven’t proved much at their other schools. The lone bright side is Sam Griessel at point guard should give them some solid games because he can do a little bit of everything. Depth is frightening and there’s just not much to like. Nebraska has fade written all over them except for when they play Maine.
Wisconsin is not a bad team, but they are overvalued which put them into my fade list for different reasons. Wisconsin can come along as the year goes, but early on without Johnny Davis and Brad Davison this team has to have someone step up and I am not sure who can efficiently. I like Max Klesmit from Wofford, Chucky Hepburn, and Tyler Wahl, but I am not sure who emerges as the leader and how efficiently points will come on a night to night basis. Usually by March Gard has this team together, but early on this season I think they struggle.
Pac 12
Oregon State lost six players from last year's train wrecked roster, so this season should serve as a breath of fresh air. However this roster at a power 5 level is awful. I have no clue where scoring comes from and I have no idea where they get bench minutes from. I don’t trust Wayne Tinkle at all and think he won't get to 10 wins this season. Keep in mind they went 1-19 last season in the Pac 12 and I am here to tell you it could be worse this season.
California lost a lot from last season's team and didn’t really add much at all. I don’t trust Devin Askew at point guard at all. Not really sure how Dejuan Clayton’s 14 PPG translates into Pac 12 play, but it likely won’t. I just named their two best players and that was scary enough. There’s not a lot to like about this roster and it looks like it’s going to be a long season in Berkeley.
SEC
South Carolina isn’t awful like some of the teams I have talked about, but they aren’t good either. I like Hayden Brown, but not sure if his game can translate to the SEC and not sure what to expect from three other starters as well. GG Jackson is a freshman I am high on, but don’t know what to expect early on. I like Lamont Paris as well, but again don’t know what to expect early. This is a program to keep your eye on for years to come, but it’s too early for coach Paris and some of these players. I can expect growing pains and inconsistency early on.
LSU is going to be good and top 50 good, but top 30-40 good I doubt it. Tons of roster turnover and McMahon’s first season at LSU may make you think this team gets off to a slow start, but they have the schedule to set them up with some cupcakes. LSU is in a weird spot early on because they have a lot of moving pieces but easily winnable games. They likely win, but likely don’t cover many. However I am not looking to fade them early on. Once they get into conference play I think they become overvalued (because their record will be good) and get beat up some and that’s where we have some bad blood brewing. Remember to pick your spots with this team, but not look to back them much in SEC play. Like Wisconsin I am not fading them because they are bad. I am fading them because I think they are overrated and especially come SEC play.